Al Wakrah 1-2 Al Markhiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 29 Feb 2024

📅29/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.69
2-3 Goals
37%
2.03
4-5 Goals
29%
2.62
6+ Goals
13%
6.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
68%
-9.7pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.6pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+9.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wakrah EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Markhiya EU Bookmakers 17%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
3.38/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.86
+28% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
17.8 Crosses 11.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wakrah
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Markhiya
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.58 xG 0.53
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
332 Passes 247
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 Al Markhiya Al Markhiya 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
03.03.2023 Al Markhiya Al Markhiya 0-4 HT 0-2 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
29.08.2022 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Markhiya Al Markhiya KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wakrah
1-2
AWAY Al Markhiya
1.54 xG 0.77
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
428 Passes 172
85% Pass Accuracy 65%
29 Box Touches 9
34 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Wakrah vs Al Markhiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Markhiya edged past Al Wakrah 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Wakrah at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Al Wakrah had 67% of the ball to Al Markhiya's 33%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.54 to 0.77 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al Wakrah.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Wakrah had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al Wakrah and 0.00 for Al Markhiya.

What was the final score of Al Wakrah vs Al Markhiya?

Al Wakrah 1-2 Al Markhiya in the Qatar League on 29/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wakrah vs Al Markhiya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wakrah win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Al Wakrah 58%, draw 19%, Al Markhiya 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Wakrah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Wakrah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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