Tigres UANL 1-0 FC Juarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 29 Feb 2024

📅29/02/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.03
Over 2.5
40%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.96
No
61%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
3.79
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
18%
3.22
6+ Goals
9%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 35% vs market 21.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
67%
-12.7pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.0pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+8.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
45%
+14.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
55%
-14.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.7pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Juarez EU Bookmakers 16%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.68/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.62
-8% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
387 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 76%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
23.8 Crosses 14.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tigres UANL
4W-2D-0L
AWAY FC Juarez
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.52 xG 0.94
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
408 Passes 280
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.07.2023 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-1 HT 0-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
15.02.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
27.07.2022 FC Juarez FC Juarez 0-1 HT 0-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
26.02.2022 FC Juarez FC Juarez 2-3 HT 0-3 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
07.11.2021 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
15.04.2021 FC Juarez FC Juarez 2-3 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tigres UANL
1-0
AWAY FC Juarez
1.06 xG 1.06
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
464 Passes 266
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
36 Box Touches 11
33 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tigres UANL vs FC Juarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tigres UANL edged past FC Juarez 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tigres UANL had 61% of the ball to FC Juarez's 39%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.06 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Tigres UANL and 0.83 for FC Juarez.

What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs FC Juarez?

Tigres UANL 1-0 FC Juarez in the Mexico - Primera on 29/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs FC Juarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 54%, draw 24%, FC Juarez 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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MEK More Mexico - Primera
29 Feb 2024
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