Pribram 0-1 Graffin Vlasim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pribram EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Graffin Vlasim EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +20%
1.44/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.55
-5% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pribram
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Graffin Vlasim
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.08.2023 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 3-1 HT 1-1 Pribram Pribram ÇEK2
29.04.2023 Pribram Pribram 0-3 HT 0-2 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
09.10.2022 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 1-1 HT 1-1 Pribram Pribram ÇEK2
16.04.2022 Pribram Pribram 2-1 HT 1-1 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
03.10.2021 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 1-1 HT 0-1 Pribram Pribram ÇEK2
06.07.2019 Pribram Pribram 2-2 HT 2-0 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pribram
0-1
AWAY Graffin Vlasim
58% Ball Possession 42%
25 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pribram vs Graffin Vlasim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Graffin Vlasim squeezed past Pribram 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Pribram at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Pribram had 58% of the ball to Graffin Vlasim's 42%, shots finished 25-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Graffin Vlasim led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Pribram and 1.83 for Graffin Vlasim.

What was the final score of Pribram vs Graffin Vlasim?

Pribram 0-1 Graffin Vlasim in the Czech Republic - FNL on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pribram vs Graffin Vlasim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pribram win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pribram 42%, draw 29%, Graffin Vlasim 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pribram) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pribram) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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