Zbrojovka Brno 2-3 Sparta Prag II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
63%
-14.0pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.2pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zbrojovka Brno EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag II EU Bookmakers 20%
-9% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.61/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.67
-12% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
350 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zbrojovka Brno
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Sparta Prag II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.08.2023 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 1-2 HT 1-0 Zbrojovka Brno Zbrojovka Brno ÇEK2
17.04.2022 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 1-0 HT 0-0 Zbrojovka Brno Zbrojovka Brno ÇEK2
01.10.2021 Zbrojovka Brno Zbrojovka Brno 2-1 HT 1-0 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zbrojovka Brno
2-3
AWAY Sparta Prag II
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zbrojovka Brno vs Sparta Prag II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag II squeezed past Zbrojovka Brno 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Zbrojovka Brno at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Zbrojovka Brno had 66% of the ball to Sparta Prag II's 34%, shots finished 17-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Zbrojovka Brno had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zbrojovka Brno and 1.00 for Sparta Prag II.

What was the final score of Zbrojovka Brno vs Sparta Prag II?

Zbrojovka Brno 2-3 Sparta Prag II in the Czech Republic - FNL on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zbrojovka Brno vs Sparta Prag II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zbrojovka Brno win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Zbrojovka Brno 49%, draw 25%, Sparta Prag II 26%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zbrojovka Brno) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zbrojovka Brno) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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