Ashton United 4-1 Whitby Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ashton United EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Whitby Town EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
1.76/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.30
+7% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
383 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ashton United
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Whitby Town
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.08.2023 Whitby Town Whitby Town 1-3 HT 0-1 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
21.02.2023 Whitby Town Whitby Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
04.10.2022 Ashton United Ashton United 0-1 HT 0-1 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
16.04.2022 Whitby Town Whitby Town 2-0 HT 2-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
24.08.2021 Ashton United Ashton United 1-3 HT 1-2 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
03.11.2020 Whitby Town Whitby Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ashton United
4-1
AWAY Whitby Town
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Ashton United vs Whitby Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ashton United swept aside Whitby Town 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ashton United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ashton United had 50% of the ball to Whitby Town's 50%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Whitby Town led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ashton United and 1.83 for Whitby Town.

What was the final score of Ashton United vs Whitby Town?

Ashton United 4-1 Whitby Town in the England - Non League Premier on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ashton United vs Whitby Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ashton United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ashton United 41%, draw 26%, Whitby Town 33%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ashton United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ashton United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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