Basingstoke Town 3-0 Gosport Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
47%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
34%
-5.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
47%
Away Win
42%
+4.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.3pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basingstoke Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Gosport Borough EU Bookmakers 46%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.97/2.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.91
+31% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +50%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basingstoke Town
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Gosport Borough
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2023 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 4-1 HT 0-1 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town İNGNLP
31.08.2015 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough İCON
16.12.2014 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 1-1 HT 1-0 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town İNFAT
POST-MATCH Basingstoke Town vs Gosport Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basingstoke Town ran out comfortable winners over Gosport Borough 3-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gosport Borough at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gosport Borough led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Basingstoke Town and 2.00 for Gosport Borough.

What was the final score of Basingstoke Town vs Gosport Borough?

Basingstoke Town 3-0 Gosport Borough in the England - Non League Premier on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basingstoke Town vs Gosport Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gosport Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Basingstoke Town 28%, draw 25%, Gosport Borough 47%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Gosport Borough), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gosport Borough) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
29 Mar 2024
18:00 Ashton United vs Whitby Town Analysis →
18:00 Hungerford Town vs Bracknell Town Analysis →
18:00 Chesham United vs Hayes & Yeading Analysis →
18:00 AFC Telford United vs Redditch United Analysis →
18:00 Poole Town vs AFC Totton Analysis →
18:00 Hitchin Town vs Needham Market Analysis →