Cadiz 1-0 Granada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.2
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
5.67
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.56
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.8
X/1
15%
3.84
X/2
6%
8.44
X/X
10%
3.7
2/1
10%
32.0
2/2
16%
7.64
2/X
9%
16.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.9pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cadiz EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Granada EU Bookmakers 24%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -13%
1.65/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.67
-35% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 71%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
24.4 Crosses 17.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cadiz
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Granada
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.80 xG 1.01
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
233 Passes 298
69% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.01.2024 Granada Granada 2-0 HT 1-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
28.02.2022 Granada Granada 0-0 HT 0-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
13.12.2021 Cadiz Cadiz 1-1 HT 1-0 Granada Granada İS1
02.05.2021 Granada Granada 0-1 HT 0-1 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
04.10.2020 Cadiz Cadiz 1-1 HT 0-1 Granada Granada İS1
26.05.2019 Granada Granada 1-1 HT 1-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cadiz
1-0
AWAY Granada
1.56 xG 0.52
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
380 Passes 223
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cadiz vs Granada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cadiz edged past Granada 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cadiz as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cadiz had 59% of the ball to Granada's 41%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.56 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cadiz and 0.83 for Granada.

What was the final score of Cadiz vs Granada?

Cadiz 1-0 Granada in the Spain - Primera Liga on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cadiz vs Granada?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cadiz win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cadiz 45%, draw 28%, Granada 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cadiz), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cadiz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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