Dnepr Mogilev 0-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 29 Mar 2024

Dnepr Mogilev
0-0 HT 0-0
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Belarus - Premier League – 2024

Dnepr Mogilev vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.18
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.7
6+ Goals
8%
15.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 32% vs market 25.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.3pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.4pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dnepr Mogilev v Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dnepr Mogilev EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+142% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

Dnepr Mogilev vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dnepr Mogilev
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 2-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR1
06.11.2022 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 0-1 HT 0-1 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
10.07.2022 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-0 HT 1-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
06.11.2021 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 1-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR1
21.08.2021 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR1
06.06.2021 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 1-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR1

Dnepr Mogilev 0-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dnepr Mogilev
0-0
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dnepr Mogilev vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dnepr Mogilev and Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Dnepr Mogilev had 52% of the ball to Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk's 48%, shots finished 12-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Dnepr Mogilev and 0.50 for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk.

What was the final score of Dnepr Mogilev vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

Dnepr Mogilev 0-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dnepr Mogilev vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dnepr Mogilev 32%, draw 30%, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 38%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BLR More Belarus - Premier League
29 Mar 2024
19:00 Dinamo Brest vs Smorgon Analysis →