Solin 0-1 Jarun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 29 Mar 2024

Solin
0-1 HT 0-0
Jarun
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-4.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Solin EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Jarun EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Solin
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Jarun
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2024 Jarun Jarun 2-0 HT 1-0 Solin Solin HIR2
14.10.2023 Solin Solin 1-1 HT 1-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Solin
0-1
AWAY Jarun
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Solin vs Jarun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jarun squeezed past Solin 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Solin at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Solin had 54% of the ball to Jarun's 46%, shots finished 17-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Jarun led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Solin and 1.50 for Jarun.

What was the final score of Solin vs Jarun?

Solin 0-1 Jarun in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Solin vs Jarun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Solin win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Solin 45%, draw 30%, Jarun 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Solin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Solin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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