Burnley U21 1-3 Crewe Alexandra U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.3
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
27%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.68
Over 2.5
66%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
72%
-17.0pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.9pp
27%
Away Win
12%
+15.1pp
34%
Under 2.5
24%
+10.5pp
66%
Over 2.5
76%
-10.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.4pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burnley U21 EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Crewe Alexandra U21 EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
415 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burnley U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Crewe Alexandra U21
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
18.03.2024 Crewe Alexandra U21 Crewe Alexandra U21 2-4 HT 2-0 Burnley U21 Burnley U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Burnley U21 vs Crewe Alexandra U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crewe Alexandra U21 beat Burnley U21 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Burnley U21 at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%) came in.

What was the final score of Burnley U21 vs Crewe Alexandra U21?

Burnley U21 1-3 Crewe Alexandra U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burnley U21 vs Crewe Alexandra U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burnley U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Burnley U21 55%, draw 18%, Crewe Alexandra U21 27%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Burnley U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burnley U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
INGPDL More England - Professional Development League
29 Mar 2024
16:00 Charlton Athletic U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21 Analysis →