Al Shamal 2-1 Al Ahli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.84
2-3 Goals
36%
1.93
4-5 Goals
25%
2.8
6+ Goals
14%
7.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.4pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shamal EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
0.81/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/0.60
-7% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
267 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
17.3 Crosses 15.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shamal
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Al Ahli
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.40 xG 1.10
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
240 Passes 426
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
02.04.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
14.09.2022 Al Shamal Al Shamal 2-2 HT 2-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
25.02.2022 Al Shamal Al Shamal 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
22.11.2021 Al Shamal Al Shamal 2-2 HT 1-2 Al Ahli Al Ahli KATYK
03.11.2021 Al Ahli Al Ahli 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
POST-MATCH Al Shamal vs Al Ahli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shamal nicked a narrow win over Al Ahli 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Al Shamal made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Shamal had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Shamal and 0.83 for Al Ahli.

What was the final score of Al Shamal vs Al Ahli?

Al Shamal 2-1 Al Ahli in the Qatar League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shamal vs Al Ahli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Shamal 36%, draw 25%, Al Ahli 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ahli) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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