Umm Salal 1-2 Al Muaidar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
8.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-1.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.9pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umm Salal EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Muaidar EU Bookmakers 45%
-18% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
0.62/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.07
-38% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
266 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 80%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
18.6 Crosses 21.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umm Salal
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Muaidar
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.47 xG 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
232 Passes 241
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 12
9 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.11.2023 Al Muaidar Al Muaidar 3-4 HT 0-3 Umm Salal Umm Salal KATYK
02.11.2023 Al Muaidar Al Muaidar 1-3 HT 1-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
11.01.2014 Al Muaidar Al Muaidar 0-4 HT 0-2 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Umm Salal
1-2
AWAY Al Muaidar
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Umm Salal vs Al Muaidar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Muaidar nicked a narrow win over Umm Salal 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Al Muaidar found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Umm Salal had 64% of the ball to Al Muaidar's 36%, shots finished 15-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Umm Salal had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Umm Salal and 1.33 for Al Muaidar.

What was the final score of Umm Salal vs Al Muaidar?

Umm Salal 1-2 Al Muaidar in the Qatar League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umm Salal vs Al Muaidar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Muaidar win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Umm Salal 35%, draw 26%, Al Muaidar 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Muaidar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Muaidar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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