Al Faisaly 0-3 Al Kholood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.67
Over 2.5
35%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.88
No
61%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-10.0pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Faisaly EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 31%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.97/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.89
+46% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +44%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Faisaly
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Kholood
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.11.2023 Al Kholood Al Kholood 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD1
12.03.2023 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Kholood Al Kholood SUUD1
18.10.2022 Al Kholood Al Kholood 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD1
POST-MATCH Al Faisaly vs Al Kholood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Kholood cruised past Al Faisaly 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Al Kholood made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Al Faisaly and 0.67 for Al Kholood.

What was the final score of Al Faisaly vs Al Kholood?

Al Faisaly 0-3 Al Kholood in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Faisaly vs Al Kholood?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Faisaly win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Faisaly 39%, draw 28%, Al Kholood 34%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Faisaly), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Faisaly) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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