29/03/2024
·
21:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Al Qaisoma vs Al Safa Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
BTTS Yes
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
29%
Draw
27%
39%
Away Win
38%
46%
Under 2.5
52%
54%
Over 2.5
48%
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
48%
BTTS No
46%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Qaisoma v Al Safa — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Qaisoma
EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Safa
EU Bookmakers 42%
-13% /
-14%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-8%
/
-39%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
47%
Ball Possession
53%
11
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
6
5
Corners
5
260 · 67%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
266 · 70%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.4
Yellow Cards
–
Al Qaisoma vs Al Safa Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Al Qaisoma
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Al Safa
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
4.00
52%
Ball Possession
48%
7
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Target
7
4
Corners
7
0
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
06.11.2023
Al Safa
4-1
HT 1-0
Al Qaisoma
SUUD1
4-1
HT 1-0
Al Qaisoma
SUUD1
POST-MATCH
Al Qaisoma vs Al Safa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Safa beat Al Qaisoma 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Al Safa found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Al Qaisoma vs Al Safa?
Al Qaisoma 1-3 Al Safa in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Qaisoma vs Al Safa?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Safa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Qaisoma 33%, draw 29%, Al Safa 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Safa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Al Safa)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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SUUD1
More Saudi Arabia - 1st Division
29 Mar 2024