Al Qaisoma 1-3 Al Safa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.8
Over 2.5
54%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Qaisoma EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Safa EU Bookmakers 42%
-13% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-8% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
260 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Qaisoma
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Safa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
06.11.2023 Al Safa Al Safa 4-1 HT 1-0 Al Qaisoma Al Qaisoma SUUD1
POST-MATCH Al Qaisoma vs Al Safa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Safa beat Al Qaisoma 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Al Safa found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Al Qaisoma vs Al Safa?

Al Qaisoma 1-3 Al Safa in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Qaisoma vs Al Safa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Safa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Qaisoma 33%, draw 29%, Al Safa 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Safa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Safa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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