Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-1 Liaoning Shenyang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.43
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.5
6+ Goals
10%
24.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+3.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.3pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Liaoning Shenyang EU Bookmakers 36%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
1.58/0.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.93
+64% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
13.0 Crosses 16.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Liaoning Shenyang
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.33 xG 1.08
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
330 Passes 339
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
07.07.2024 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 2-0 HT 0-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long ÇİN2
09.03.2024 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-0 HT 1-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
2-1
AWAY Liaoning Shenyang
1.52 xG 0.58
53% Ball Possession 47%
29 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
219 Passes 213
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Liaoning Shenyang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chongqing Tongliang Long squeezed past Liaoning Shenyang 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Chongqing Tongliang Long made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chongqing Tongliang Long had 53% of the ball to Liaoning Shenyang's 47%, shots finished 29-7, expected goals 1.52 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chongqing Tongliang Long and 1.00 for Liaoning Shenyang.

What was the final score of Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Liaoning Shenyang?

Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-1 Liaoning Shenyang in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Liaoning Shenyang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chongqing Tongliang Long 38%, draw 26%, Liaoning Shenyang 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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