Liaoning Shenyang 2-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
48%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.74
Over 2.5
57%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2.89
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
4.04
6+ Goals
9%
18.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
21%
+8.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
48%
Away Win
54%
-6.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
54%
-11.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
46%
+11.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liaoning Shenyang EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 58%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
0.75/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.35
+1% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +120% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
250 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
15.8 Crosses 19.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liaoning Shenyang
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
09.03.2024 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-0 HT 1-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liaoning Shenyang
2-0
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long
1.08 xG 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
339 Passes 330
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Liaoning Shenyang vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liaoning Shenyang got the better of Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Chongqing Tongliang Long at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Liaoning Shenyang had 50% of the ball to Chongqing Tongliang Long's 50%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 1.08 to 1.33.

What was the final score of Liaoning Shenyang vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Liaoning Shenyang 2-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liaoning Shenyang vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Liaoning Shenyang 29%, draw 23%, Chongqing Tongliang Long 48%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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