Ganzhou Ruishi 2-3 Hunan Billows — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
33%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.8pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.5pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-7.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ganzhou Ruishi EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Hunan Billows EU Bookmakers 45%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-11% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Ganzhou Ruishi vs Hunan Billows
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hunan Billows edged past Ganzhou Ruishi 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Hunan Billows found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Ganzhou Ruishi vs Hunan Billows?

Ganzhou Ruishi 2-3 Hunan Billows in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ganzhou Ruishi vs Hunan Billows?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ganzhou Ruishi win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Ganzhou Ruishi 33%, draw 33%, Hunan Billows 33%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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