Yanbian Longding 0-5 Suzhou Dongwu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
29%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.47
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 25% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.6pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.0pp
29%
Away Win
35%
-5.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Suzhou Dongwu EU Bookmakers 38%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.01/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.19
+3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
13.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
15.2 Crosses 9.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yanbian Longding
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Suzhou Dongwu
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.74 xG 0.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
379 Passes 236
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 9
25 Crosses 16
10.03.2024 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu 1-1 HT 1-1 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
29.07.2023 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 2-2 HT 2-0 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yanbian Longding
0-5
AWAY Suzhou Dongwu
0.92 xG 2.13
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 5
366 Passes 236
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 33
27 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yanbian Longding vs Suzhou Dongwu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suzhou Dongwu ran out comfortable winners over Yanbian Longding 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Yanbian Longding at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yanbian Longding had 59% of the ball to Suzhou Dongwu's 41%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 0.92 to 2.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Yanbian Longding and 1.50 for Suzhou Dongwu.

What was the final score of Yanbian Longding vs Suzhou Dongwu?

Yanbian Longding 0-5 Suzhou Dongwu in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yanbian Longding vs Suzhou Dongwu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yanbian Longding win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Yanbian Longding 41%, draw 30%, Suzhou Dongwu 29%. The final score 0-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Yanbian Longding) ✗ Under 2.5
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