Dalian Zhixing 4-0 Qingdao Red Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.71
Over 2.5
56%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.9
No
44%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.84
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
30%
4.12
6+ Goals
8%
19.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.12 — our 30% vs market 19.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
52%
-14.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
37%
Away Win
23%
+14.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
55%
-10.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
45%
+10.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.5pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Red Lions EU Bookmakers 26%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.46/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.96
+50% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 71%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
12.0 Crosses 19.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dalian Zhixing
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Qingdao Red Lions
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Corners 6
10.03.2024 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions 0-1 HT 0-0 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dalian Zhixing
4-0
AWAY Qingdao Red Lions
1.61 xG 1.28
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
283 Passes 203
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
28 Box Touches 14
29 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Red Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dalian Zhixing ran out comfortable winners over Qingdao Red Lions 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Dalian Zhixing made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Dalian Zhixing had 56% of the ball to Qingdao Red Lions's 44%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.61 to 1.28.

What was the final score of Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Red Lions?

Dalian Zhixing 4-0 Qingdao Red Lions in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dalian Zhixing vs Qingdao Red Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dalian Zhixing win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Dalian Zhixing 37%, draw 26%, Qingdao Red Lions 37%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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