Salisbury 2-0 Tonbridge Angels — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.78
6+ Goals
8%
16.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 32% vs market 28.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.2pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salisbury EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -3%
1.39/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.48
-1% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
371 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salisbury
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tonbridge Angels
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 1-0 HT 1-0 Salisbury Salisbury İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salisbury
2-0
AWAY Tonbridge Angels
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Salisbury vs Tonbridge Angels
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salisbury beat Tonbridge Angels 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Salisbury found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Salisbury had 46% of the ball to Tonbridge Angels's 54%, shots finished 6-9.

What was the final score of Salisbury vs Tonbridge Angels?

Salisbury 2-0 Tonbridge Angels in the England - Conference on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salisbury vs Tonbridge Angels?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salisbury win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Salisbury 37%, draw 26%, Tonbridge Angels 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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