Aveley 0-1 Torquay United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
51%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.13
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.47
6+ Goals
9%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 28% vs market 25.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
20%
+5.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
51%
Away Win
56%
-4.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aveley EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Torquay United EU Bookmakers 60%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.85/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/1.39
-26% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
198 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aveley
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Torquay United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 10
31.08.2024 Torquay United Torquay United 1-1 HT 1-0 Aveley Aveley İCON
24.02.2024 Torquay United Torquay United 2-2 HT 2-1 Aveley Aveley İCON
02.09.2023 Aveley Aveley 2-1 HT 1-0 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aveley
0-1
AWAY Torquay United
37% Ball Possession 63%
3 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aveley vs Torquay United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torquay United squeezed past Aveley 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Torquay United as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Aveley had 37% of the ball to Torquay United's 63%, shots finished 3-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Aveley had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aveley and 1.33 for Torquay United.

What was the final score of Aveley vs Torquay United?

Aveley 0-1 Torquay United in the England - Conference on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aveley vs Torquay United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torquay United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Aveley 25%, draw 24%, Torquay United 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torquay United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Torquay United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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