Chester 1-1 Curzon Ashton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.93
6+ Goals
9%
18.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 32% vs market 29.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.7pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chester EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +13%
1.37/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.33
-23% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
384 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chester
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Curzon Ashton
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 4-0 HT 3-0 Chester Chester İCON
09.03.2024 Chester Chester 0-0 HT 0-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
28.10.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 0-1 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
14.01.2023 Chester Chester 2-2 HT 0-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
29.08.2022 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-2 HT 0-1 Chester Chester İCON
22.01.2022 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 4-3 HT 2-0 Chester Chester İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chester
1-1
AWAY Curzon Ashton
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chester vs Curzon Ashton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chester and Curzon Ashton shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Chester at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Chester had 49% of the ball to Curzon Ashton's 51%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chester and 1.83 for Curzon Ashton.

What was the final score of Chester vs Curzon Ashton?

Chester 1-1 Curzon Ashton in the England - Conference on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chester vs Curzon Ashton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Chester 50%, draw 26%, Curzon Ashton 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chester), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chester) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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