Chorley 4-0 Spennymoor Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.73
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.94
6+ Goals
9%
18.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chorley EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 33%
+11% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +16%
1.58/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.59
+13% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
377 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chorley
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Spennymoor Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2024 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Chorley Chorley İCON
28.09.2024 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 1-0 Chorley Chorley FAK
13.02.2024 Chorley Chorley 2-1 HT 0-1 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
30.12.2023 Chorley Chorley 1-0 HT 1-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
26.12.2023 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Chorley Chorley İCON
04.03.2023 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 2-1 HT 2-1 Chorley Chorley İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chorley
4-0
AWAY Spennymoor Town
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chorley vs Spennymoor Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chorley cruised past Spennymoor Town 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chorley as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Chorley had 60% of the ball to Spennymoor Town's 40%, shots finished 14-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chorley had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chorley and 0.83 for Spennymoor Town.

What was the final score of Chorley vs Spennymoor Town?

Chorley 4-0 Spennymoor Town in the England - Conference on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chorley vs Spennymoor Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chorley 43%, draw 25%, Spennymoor Town 32%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chorley), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chorley) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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