Chorley 2-1 Spennymoor Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.51
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51 — our 26% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+6.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chorley EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -13%
2.10/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/2.19
+15% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chorley
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Spennymoor Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.12.2023 Chorley Chorley 1-0 HT 1-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
26.12.2023 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Chorley Chorley İCON
04.03.2023 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 2-1 HT 2-1 Chorley Chorley İCON
08.11.2022 Chorley Chorley 2-0 HT 1-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
07.05.2022 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
08.03.2022 Chorley Chorley 0-2 HT 0-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chorley
2-1
AWAY Spennymoor Town
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Chorley vs Spennymoor Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chorley edged past Spennymoor Town 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chorley as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Chorley had 59% of the ball to Spennymoor Town's 41%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chorley and 1.00 for Spennymoor Town.

What was the final score of Chorley vs Spennymoor Town?

Chorley 2-1 Spennymoor Town in the England - Conference on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chorley vs Spennymoor Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Chorley 48%, draw 23%, Spennymoor Town 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chorley), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chorley) ✓ Over 2.5
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İCON More England - Conference
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