Dartford 0-1 Chippenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.3
6+ Goals
12%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 28% vs market 22.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
55%
-10.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+9.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dartford EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 24%
-3% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +25%
1.68/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.14
-9% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +48%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
372 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dartford
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Chippenham Town
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.10.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 1-4 HT 0-3 Dartford Dartford İCON
11.02.2023 Dartford Dartford 2-0 HT 1-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
03.09.2022 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Dartford Dartford İCON
12.03.2022 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 4-2 HT 1-1 Dartford Dartford İCON
06.11.2021 Dartford Dartford 3-3 HT 2-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
27.10.2020 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Dartford Dartford İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dartford
0-1
AWAY Chippenham Town
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dartford vs Chippenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chippenham Town edged past Dartford 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Dartford at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Dartford had 44% of the ball to Chippenham Town's 56%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dartford had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Dartford and 1.83 for Chippenham Town.

What was the final score of Dartford vs Chippenham Town?

Dartford 0-1 Chippenham Town in the England - Conference on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dartford vs Chippenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dartford win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dartford 44%, draw 26%, Chippenham Town 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dartford), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dartford) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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