Spennymoor Town vs Chorley Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spennymoor Town v Chorley — Team-Based Signals
Spennymoor Town vs Chorley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Spennymoor Town
İCON
0-2
HT 0-1
Chorley
İCON
2-1
HT 2-1
Chorley
İCON
2-0
HT 1-0
Spennymoor Town
İCON
2-0
HT 1-0
Chorley
İCON
Spennymoor Town squeezed past Chorley 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Spennymoor Town as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chorley led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Spennymoor Town and 1.33 for Chorley.
What was the final score of Spennymoor Town vs Chorley?
Spennymoor Town 1-0 Chorley in the England - FA Cup on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spennymoor Town vs Chorley?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spennymoor Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Spennymoor Town 41%, draw 26%, Chorley 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spennymoor Town), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.