Leiston 1-1 AFC Hornchurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 28 Sep 2024

Leiston
1-1
AFC Hornchurch
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2024/2025

Leiston vs AFC Hornchurch Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
3.08
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
38%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
29%
+11.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.5pp
38%
Away Win
47%
-9.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.3pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leiston v AFC Hornchurch — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiston EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 51%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.26/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-8% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
363 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Leiston vs AFC Hornchurch Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiston
0W-1D-0L
AWAY AFC Hornchurch
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Leiston Leiston 1-1 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch FAK
POST-MATCH Leiston vs AFC Hornchurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leiston and AFC Hornchurch couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 22% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Leiston vs AFC Hornchurch?

Leiston 1-1 AFC Hornchurch in the England - FA Cup on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiston vs AFC Hornchurch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leiston win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Leiston 40%, draw 22%, AFC Hornchurch 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leiston), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leiston) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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