Bishops Stortford 3-2 Hereford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
40%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
24%
+11.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
40%
Away Win
52%
-12.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bishops Stortford EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 56%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.48/2.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.65
-65% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +87%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
217 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bishops Stortford
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Hereford FC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 Bishops Stortford Bishops Stortford 0-1 HT 0-1 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
23.09.2023 Hereford FC Hereford FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Bishops Stortford Bishops Stortford İCON
POST-MATCH Bishops Stortford vs Hereford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bishops Stortford edged past Hereford FC 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Bishops Stortford made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hereford FC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Bishops Stortford and 1.00 for Hereford FC.

What was the final score of Bishops Stortford vs Hereford FC?

Bishops Stortford 3-2 Hereford FC in the England - FA Cup on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bishops Stortford vs Hereford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hereford FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bishops Stortford 35%, draw 24%, Hereford FC 40%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hereford FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hereford FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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