28/09/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Guiseley vs Scunthorpe United Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
36%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
29%
Draw
21%
47%
Away Win
58%
50%
Under 2.5
42%
50%
Over 2.5
58%
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
55%
BTTS No
46%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guiseley v Scunthorpe United — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Guiseley
EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY
Scunthorpe United
EU Bookmakers 62%
+15% /
+15%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-17%
/
+41%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
45%
Ball Possession
55%
10
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
7
308 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
439 · 84%
15.0
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
17.0
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
–
Guiseley vs Scunthorpe United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Guiseley
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Scunthorpe United
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
32%
Ball Possession
68%
5
Total Shots
13
1
Shots on Target
4
3
Corners
4
The Meetings
13.07.2019
Guiseley
0-2
HT 0-2
Scunthorpe United
HAZ
0-2
HT 0-2
Scunthorpe United
HAZ
POST-MATCH
Guiseley vs Scunthorpe United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Guiseley edged past Scunthorpe United 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Scunthorpe United at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Guiseley vs Scunthorpe United?
Guiseley 1-0 Scunthorpe United in the England - FA Cup on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guiseley vs Scunthorpe United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Guiseley 25%, draw 29%, Scunthorpe United 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Scunthorpe United) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Scunthorpe United)
✓ BTTS No
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FAK
More England - FA Cup
28 Sep 2024