28/09/2024
·
14:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
1-2
Wythenshawe vs Farsley AFC Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
19%
30%
Draw
21%
42%
Away Win
60%
48%
Under 2.5
41%
52%
Over 2.5
59%
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
49%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wythenshawe v Farsley AFC — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Wythenshawe
EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY
Farsley AFC
EU Bookmakers 64%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-78% /
-78%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
-64%
45%
Ball Possession
55%
12
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Target
6
5
Corners
7
280 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
360 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Wythenshawe vs Farsley AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Farsley AFC edged past Wythenshawe 1-0 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Farsley AFC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
What was the final score of Wythenshawe vs Farsley AFC?
Wythenshawe 0-1 Farsley AFC in the England - FA Cup on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wythenshawe vs Farsley AFC?
Before kick-off our model rated an Farsley AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Wythenshawe 28%, draw 30%, Farsley AFC 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farsley AFC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Farsley AFC)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
FAK
More England - FA Cup
28 Sep 2024