Carshalton Athletic vs Melksham Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Carshalton Athletic v Melksham Town — Team-Based Signals
Carshalton Athletic 3-2 Melksham Town — Actual Match Statistics
Carshalton Athletic squeezed past Melksham Town 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Carshalton Athletic as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Carshalton Athletic had 56% of the ball to Melksham Town's 44%, shots finished 18-8.
What was the final score of Carshalton Athletic vs Melksham Town?
Carshalton Athletic 3-2 Melksham Town in the England - FA Cup on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Carshalton Athletic vs Melksham Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Carshalton Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Carshalton Athletic 43%, draw 26%, Melksham Town 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carshalton Athletic), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.