Spennymoor Town 1-2 Chorley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.89
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
4.03
6+ Goals
9%
18.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Chorley EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -23%
1.41/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.45
+1% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spennymoor Town
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Chorley
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 1-0 Chorley Chorley FAK
13.02.2024 Chorley Chorley 2-1 HT 0-1 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
30.12.2023 Chorley Chorley 1-0 HT 1-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
26.12.2023 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Chorley Chorley İCON
04.03.2023 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 2-1 HT 2-1 Chorley Chorley İCON
08.11.2022 Chorley Chorley 2-0 HT 1-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spennymoor Town
1-2
AWAY Chorley
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Spennymoor Town vs Chorley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chorley edged past Spennymoor Town 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Spennymoor Town at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Spennymoor Town had 54% of the ball to Chorley's 46%, shots finished 11-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chorley led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Spennymoor Town and 1.33 for Chorley.

What was the final score of Spennymoor Town vs Chorley?

Spennymoor Town 1-2 Chorley in the England - Conference on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spennymoor Town vs Chorley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spennymoor Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Spennymoor Town 44%, draw 27%, Chorley 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Spennymoor Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spennymoor Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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