Chelmsford City 2-1 Salisbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.11
6+ Goals
13%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-8.8pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.9pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Salisbury EU Bookmakers 24%
-9% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.66/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/2.18
-6% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelmsford City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Salisbury
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
22 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
11.01.2020 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 4-0 HT 1-0 Salisbury Salisbury FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelmsford City
2-1
AWAY Salisbury
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chelmsford City vs Salisbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelmsford City nicked a narrow win over Salisbury 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chelmsford City as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Chelmsford City had 49% of the ball to Salisbury's 51%, shots finished 6-11.

What was the final score of Chelmsford City vs Salisbury?

Chelmsford City 2-1 Salisbury in the England - Conference on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelmsford City vs Salisbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelmsford City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Chelmsford City 47%, draw 26%, Salisbury 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelmsford City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chelmsford City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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