AFC Hornchurch 2-1 Torquay United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.53
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.67
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Torquay United EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +0%
0.39/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.52
-70% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
POST-MATCH AFC Hornchurch vs Torquay United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Hornchurch nicked a narrow win over Torquay United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 36% — and on the day AFC Hornchurch made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of AFC Hornchurch vs Torquay United?

AFC Hornchurch 2-1 Torquay United in the England - Conference on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Hornchurch vs Torquay United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torquay United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split AFC Hornchurch 33%, draw 30%, Torquay United 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Torquay United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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