Dorking Wanderers 2-1 Welling United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Oct 2024

Dorking Wanderers
2-1 HT 1-0
Welling United
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Dorking Wanderers vs Welling United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.75
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.25
6+ Goals
8%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.75 — our 28% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-3.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dorking Wanderers v Welling United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Welling United EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
2.46/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.63
+40% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
374 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Dorking Wanderers vs Welling United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorking Wanderers
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Welling United
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.04.2022 Welling United Welling United 0-4 HT 0-3 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
11.12.2021 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 3-1 HT 1-1 Welling United Welling United İCON
13.02.2021 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 5-0 HT 2-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
30.11.2019 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Welling United Welling United İCON

Dorking Wanderers 2-1 Welling United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dorking Wanderers
2-1
AWAY Welling United
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dorking Wanderers vs Welling United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorking Wanderers nicked a narrow win over Welling United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dorking Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Dorking Wanderers had 64% of the ball to Welling United's 36%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Dorking Wanderers had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Dorking Wanderers and 0.25 for Welling United.

What was the final score of Dorking Wanderers vs Welling United?

Dorking Wanderers 2-1 Welling United in the England - Conference on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorking Wanderers vs Welling United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Dorking Wanderers 53%, draw 25%, Welling United 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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