Hereford FC 3-0 Farsley AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.57
Draw
33%
3.72
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.82
Over 2.5
41%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.16
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.7
6+ Goals
10%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 28% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
60%
-17.4pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.6pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
51%
+7.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
49%
-7.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.9pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Farsley AFC EU Bookmakers 20%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.60/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.92
-13% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -9%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
405 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hereford FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Farsley AFC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2024 Hereford FC Hereford FC 4-1 HT 4-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
25.11.2023 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 0-0 HT 0-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
04.02.2023 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 1-0 HT 1-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
10.01.2023 Hereford FC Hereford FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
22.01.2022 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 0-4 HT 0-1 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
14.08.2021 Hereford FC Hereford FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hereford FC
3-0
AWAY Farsley AFC
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Hereford FC vs Farsley AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hereford FC cruised past Farsley AFC 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hereford FC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hereford FC had 50% of the ball to Farsley AFC's 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hereford FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hereford FC and 0.50 for Farsley AFC.

What was the final score of Hereford FC vs Farsley AFC?

Hereford FC 3-0 Farsley AFC in the England - Conference on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hereford FC vs Farsley AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hereford FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hereford FC 42%, draw 33%, Farsley AFC 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hereford FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hereford FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
26 Oct 2024
17:00 Radcliffe Borough vs Oxford City Analysis →
17:00 Weston-super-Mare vs Aveley Analysis →
17:00 AFC Hornchurch vs Torquay United Analysis →
17:00 Enfield Town vs Chesham United Analysis →
17:00 Chelmsford City vs Salisbury Analysis →
17:00 Dorking Wanderers vs Welling United Analysis →