Enfield Town 2-3 Chesham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.93
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.93 — our 25% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.5pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
46%
Away Win
53%
-7.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Enfield Town EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesham United EU Bookmakers 57%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.01/2.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-18% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
278 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Enfield Town
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Chesham United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
07.10.2023 Chesham United Chesham United 4-3 Enfield Town Enfield Town FAK
08.10.2022 Enfield Town Enfield Town 0-4 Chesham United Chesham United FAK
POST-MATCH Enfield Town vs Chesham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chesham United edged past Enfield Town 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chesham United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chesham United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Enfield Town and 4.00 for Chesham United.

What was the final score of Enfield Town vs Chesham United?

Enfield Town 2-3 Chesham United in the England - Conference on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Enfield Town vs Chesham United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chesham United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Enfield Town 27%, draw 28%, Chesham United 46%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chesham United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chesham United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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