Curzon Ashton 4-0 Chester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.53
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.67
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.8pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.3pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.5pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Chester EU Bookmakers 39%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
0.99/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.24
-26% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Curzon Ashton
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Chester
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2024 Chester Chester 0-0 HT 0-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
28.10.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 0-1 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
14.01.2023 Chester Chester 2-2 HT 0-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
29.08.2022 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-2 HT 0-1 Chester Chester İCON
22.01.2022 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 4-3 HT 2-0 Chester Chester İCON
27.11.2021 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 2-1 HT 0-1 Chester Chester İNFAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Curzon Ashton
4-0
AWAY Chester
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Curzon Ashton vs Chester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Curzon Ashton ran out comfortable winners over Chester 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 32% / 35% — and on the day Curzon Ashton made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Curzon Ashton had 45% of the ball to Chester's 55%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Curzon Ashton and 1.50 for Chester.

What was the final score of Curzon Ashton vs Chester?

Curzon Ashton 4-0 Chester in the England - Conference on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Curzon Ashton vs Chester?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Curzon Ashton 33%, draw 32%, Chester 35%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Chester), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chester) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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