Perth Glory (K) 1-2 Canberra United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 29 Mar 2025

Perth Glory (K)
1-2 HT 0-2
Canberra United (K)
📅29/03/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Perth Glory (K) vs Canberra United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+0.9pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.0pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.8pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Perth Glory (K) v Canberra United (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth Glory (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.99/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.83
-46% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
23.0 Crosses 16.7
– Yellow Cards 1.8

Perth Glory (K) vs Canberra United (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth Glory (K)
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Canberra United (K)
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.76 xG 1.71
52% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
288 Passes 273
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.02.2025 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
24.11.2024 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
10.02.2024 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 2-2 HT 1-2 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
04.11.2023 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 2-3 HT 2-2 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
13.12.2019 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
17.11.2019 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 2-0 HT 2-0 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW

Perth Glory (K) 1-2 Canberra United (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perth Glory (K)
1-2
AWAY Canberra United (K)
0.52 xG 1.61
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
261 Passes 207
70% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 8
15 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Perth Glory (K) vs Canberra United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canberra United (K) nicked a narrow win over Perth Glory (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Perth Glory (K) at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Perth Glory (K) had 56% of the ball to Canberra United (K)'s 44%, shots finished 10-4, expected goals 0.52 to 1.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Canberra United (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Perth Glory (K) and 1.50 for Canberra United (K).

What was the final score of Perth Glory (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

Perth Glory (K) 1-2 Canberra United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth Glory (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Perth Glory (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory (K) 50%, draw 19%, Canberra United (K) 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Perth Glory (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Perth Glory (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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