Wellington Phoenix 2-2 Western Sydney Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 29 Mar 2025

Wellington Phoenix
2-2 HT 1-1
Western Sydney Wanderers
📅29/03/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2024/2025

Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
44%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
4.86
2-3 Goals
34%
1.94
4-5 Goals
27%
2.73
6+ Goals
10%
7.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
6.82
1/2
5%
19.8
1/X
4%
15.35
X/1
6%
9.64
X/2
13%
4.5
X/X
15%
6.42
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
27%
2.15
2/X
4%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
23%
+9.6pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
44%
Away Win
54%
-10.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.0pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wellington Phoenix v Western Sydney Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wellington Phoenix EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 59%
+12% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.24/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.26
-7% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -15%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
240 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 85%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.5
13.7 Crosses 24.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wellington Phoenix
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.06 xG 1.74
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
370 Passes 517
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.12.2024 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 4-1 HT 2-0 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix AVUS
23.12.2023 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 2-0 HT 0-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
22.10.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix AVUS
21.04.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 4-0 HT 2-0 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix AVUS
10.12.2022 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 1-1 HT 0-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
05.05.2022 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-2 HT 1-1 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix AVUS

Wellington Phoenix 2-2 Western Sydney Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wellington Phoenix
2-2
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
1.10 xG 2.16
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
346 Passes 432
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 36
17 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wellington Phoenix and Western Sydney Wanderers couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Western Sydney Wanderers at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Wellington Phoenix had 45% of the ball to Western Sydney Wanderers's 55%, shots finished 14-22, expected goals 1.10 to 2.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wellington Phoenix and 1.67 for Western Sydney Wanderers.

What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Wellington Phoenix 2-2 Western Sydney Wanderers in the Australia - A-League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Western Sydney Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix 32%, draw 23%, Western Sydney Wanderers 44%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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