Neftçi PFK 1-1 Araz Nahçıvan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.13
No
63%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.6pp
30%
Draw
30%
+1.0pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
43%
-6.2pp
63%
BTTS No
57%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neftçi PFK EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -12%
1.01/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.45
-19% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neftçi PFK
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.01.2025 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 2-1 HT 1-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
01.11.2024 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 0-1 HT 0-1 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
24.08.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 HT 1-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
13.04.2024 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 3-0 HT 2-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
13.02.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-0 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
26.11.2023 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 1-1 HT 1-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
POST-MATCH Neftçi PFK vs Araz Nahçıvan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neftçi PFK and Araz Nahçıvan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Araz Nahçıvan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Neftçi PFK and 1.00 for Araz Nahçıvan.

What was the final score of Neftçi PFK vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Neftçi PFK 1-1 Araz Nahçıvan in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neftçi PFK vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neftçi PFK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Neftçi PFK 39%, draw 30%, Araz Nahçıvan 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Neftçi PFK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neftçi PFK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
29 Mar 2025
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