Sumqayıt 3-3 Sabah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.52
Over 2.5
33%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.09
No
65%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+4.8pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.4pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.1pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+5.1pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-5.1pp
35%
BTTS Yes
44%
-8.8pp
65%
BTTS No
56%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabah EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
0.98/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.05
-12% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sumqayıt
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sabah
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
27.02.2025 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-4 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERK
05.02.2025 Sabah Sabah 0-0 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERK
25.01.2025 Sabah Sabah 0-0 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
03.11.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-0 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
25.08.2024 Sabah Sabah 3-1 HT 1-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
18.05.2024 Sabah Sabah 2-0 HT 1-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
POST-MATCH Sumqayıt vs Sabah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sumqayıt and Sabah shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sabah led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sumqayıt and 1.50 for Sabah.

What was the final score of Sumqayıt vs Sabah?

Sumqayıt 3-3 Sabah in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sumqayıt vs Sabah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sumqayıt 34%, draw 31%, Sabah 36%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sabah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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29 Mar 2025
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