Sumqayıt 1-0 Sabah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
43%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.8
Over 2.5
55%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+5.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
43%
Away Win
52%
-8.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabah EU Bookmakers 56%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -12%
0.85/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.14
-30% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -27%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sumqayıt
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Sabah
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
25.08.2024 Sabah Sabah 3-1 HT 1-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
18.05.2024 Sabah Sabah 2-0 HT 1-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
17.03.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-2 HT 0-1 Sabah Sabah AZERS
25.10.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-0 HT 1-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
21.10.2023 Sabah Sabah 3-1 HT 0-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
17.05.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-4 HT 0-3 Sabah Sabah AZERS
POST-MATCH Sumqayıt vs Sabah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sumqayıt squeezed past Sabah 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sabah at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sabah led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sumqayıt and 2.33 for Sabah.

What was the final score of Sumqayıt vs Sabah?

Sumqayıt 1-0 Sabah in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sumqayıt vs Sabah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sumqayıt 29%, draw 28%, Sabah 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sabah) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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3 Nov 2024
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