Kapaz 1-0 Sebail FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 3 Nov 2024

Kapaz
1-0 HT 0-0
Sebail FK
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2025/2026

Kapaz vs Sebail FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
25%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+3.2pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.4pp
25%
Away Win
33%
-7.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kapaz v Sebail FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapaz EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sebail FK EU Bookmakers 37%
-11% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.92/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.32
-27% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
304 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 4.4

Kapaz vs Sebail FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapaz
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sebail FK
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
2 Corners 6
The Meetings
23.08.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 4-0 HT 2-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
14.04.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 3-3 HT 0-2 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
12.02.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 1-4 HT 1-1 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
25.11.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
16.09.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 0-3 HT 0-2 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
01.04.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 1-0 HT 0-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
POST-MATCH Kapaz vs Sebail FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kapaz squeezed past Sebail FK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kapaz as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sebail FK led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kapaz and 2.33 for Sebail FK.

What was the final score of Kapaz vs Sebail FK?

Kapaz 1-0 Sebail FK in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapaz vs Sebail FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kapaz win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kapaz 44%, draw 31%, Sebail FK 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kapaz), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kapaz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
3 Nov 2024
18:00 Sumqayıt vs Sabah Analysis →