Sebail FK 4-0 Kapaz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 23 Aug 2024

Sebail FK
4-0 HT 2-0
Kapaz
📅23/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2025/2026

Sebail FK vs Kapaz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
53%
-13.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.5pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+9.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sebail FK v Kapaz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sebail FK EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapaz EU Bookmakers 26%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.73/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.34
+1% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Sebail FK vs Kapaz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sebail FK
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kapaz
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.04.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 3-3 HT 0-2 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
12.02.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 1-4 HT 1-1 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
25.11.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
16.09.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 0-3 HT 0-2 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
01.04.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 1-0 HT 0-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
31.01.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
POST-MATCH Sebail FK vs Kapaz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sebail FK cruised past Kapaz 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Sebail FK made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sebail FK had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sebail FK and 0.83 for Kapaz.

What was the final score of Sebail FK vs Kapaz?

Sebail FK 4-0 Kapaz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sebail FK vs Kapaz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sebail FK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sebail FK 39%, draw 29%, Kapaz 32%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sebail FK) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sebail FK) ✗ Under 2.5
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