Sumqayıt 0-4 Sabah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Cup, 27 Feb 2025

📅27/02/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.46
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.51
Over 2.5
46%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+6.9pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.4pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-5.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.0pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabah EU Bookmakers 48%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
267 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sumqayıt
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sabah
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
05.02.2025 Sabah Sabah 0-0 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERK
25.01.2025 Sabah Sabah 0-0 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
03.11.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-0 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
25.08.2024 Sabah Sabah 3-1 HT 1-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
18.05.2024 Sabah Sabah 2-0 HT 1-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
17.03.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-2 HT 0-1 Sabah Sabah AZERS
POST-MATCH Sumqayıt vs Sabah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabah ran out comfortable winners over Sumqayıt 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and on the day Sabah made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sabah led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sumqayıt and 1.17 for Sabah.

What was the final score of Sumqayıt vs Sabah?

Sumqayıt 0-4 Sabah in the Azerbaijan - Cup on 27/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sumqayıt vs Sabah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sumqayıt 32%, draw 30%, Sabah 38%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sabah) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sabah) ✗ Under 2.5
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