Cuniburo FC 3-2 Uni. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 29 Mar 2025

Cuniburo FC
3-2 HT 2-2
Uni. Catolica
📅29/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2026

Cuniburo FC vs Uni. Catolica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
-0.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cuniburo FC v Uni. Catolica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cuniburo FC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +25%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
270 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
– Crosses 14.9
– Yellow Cards 2.5

Cuniburo FC 3-2 Uni. Catolica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cuniburo FC
3-2
AWAY Uni. Catolica
2.02 xG 1.04
34% Ball Possession 66%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
172 Passes 404
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
28 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cuniburo FC vs Uni. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cuniburo FC nicked a narrow win over Uni. Catolica 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Uni. Catolica at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Cuniburo FC had 34% of the ball to Uni. Catolica's 66%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 2.02 to 1.04.

What was the final score of Cuniburo FC vs Uni. Catolica?

Cuniburo FC 3-2 Uni. Catolica in the Ecuador - Premier on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cuniburo FC vs Uni. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cuniburo FC 28%, draw 30%, Uni. Catolica 43%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Uni. Catolica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✓ BTTS Yes
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