Gangneung City 2-2 Ulsan Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.9
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
-10.8pp
34%
Draw
26%
+7.3pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gangneung City EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +3%
1.78/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.20
+24% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gangneung City
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Ulsan Citizen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
01.09.2024 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
04.05.2024 Gangneung City Gangneung City 0-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
08.07.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
25.03.2023 Gangneung City Gangneung City 1-2 HT 0-1 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
16.07.2022 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 3-3 HT 1-2 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
03.04.2022 Gangneung City Gangneung City 2-1 HT 1-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Gangneung City vs Ulsan Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangneung City and Ulsan Citizen shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 34% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gangneung City had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gangneung City and 1.00 for Ulsan Citizen.

What was the final score of Gangneung City vs Ulsan Citizen?

Gangneung City 2-2 Ulsan Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gangneung City vs Ulsan Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gangneung City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gangneung City 38%, draw 34%, Ulsan Citizen 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gangneung City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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