Pocheon 1-0 Changwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
36%
3.11
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
22%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-4.8pp
36%
Draw
28%
+8.1pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-3.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.9pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pocheon EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Changwon City EU Bookmakers 39%
-4% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
1.01/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.89
-12% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pocheon
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Changwon City
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
27.07.2024 Changwon City Changwon City 0-0 HT 0-0 Pocheon Pocheon GK3L
13.04.2024 Pocheon Pocheon 1-1 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
11.11.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 0-0 HT 0-0 Pocheon Pocheon GK3L
17.06.2023 Pocheon Pocheon 0-0 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
29.10.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 2-1 HT 1-0 Pocheon Pocheon GK3L
03.09.2022 Pocheon Pocheon 0-0 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
POST-MATCH Pocheon vs Changwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pocheon squeezed past Changwon City 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 36% / 32% — and on the day Pocheon made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Changwon City led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Pocheon and 0.50 for Changwon City.

What was the final score of Pocheon vs Changwon City?

Pocheon 1-0 Changwon City in the South Kore - K3 League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pocheon vs Changwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Pocheon 32%, draw 36%, Changwon City 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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