29/03/2025
·
21:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Al Karma vs Diala Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
3%
X/X
14%
2/1
14%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
31%
Draw
25%
20%
Away Win
18%
63%
Under 2.5
56%
37%
Over 2.5
44%
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
54%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Karma v Diala — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Karma
EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY
Diala
EU Bookmakers 21%
-28% /
-28%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-19% /
-19%
0.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.67/1.66
-100%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-10%
/
-8%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
3
340 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
277 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al Karma vs Diala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Karma and Diala played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match lean was Al Karma at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Al Karma vs Diala?
Al Karma 0-0 Diala in the Iraq - Premier League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Karma vs Diala?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Karma win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Karma 49%, draw 31%, Diala 20%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Karma) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Al Karma)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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More Iraq - Premier League
29 Mar 2025